Sepsis natural history, complications and prognosis

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Editor-In-Chief: C. Michael Gibson, M.S., M.D. [1]; Associate Editor(s)-In-Chief: Priyamvada Singh, M.D. [2]

Overview

There are many complications associated with sepsis, especially because it is a systemic phenomenon. Sepsis is a severe condition, and the prognosis of the patient will depend greatly on the condition and overall health of the patient. Many factors, such as age, contribute to the overall prognosis.

Complications

Prognosis

Prognosis can be estimated with the MEDS (Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis) score.[1] This MEDS score will be a calculation of the following criteria:

Point System[2]

The precise scoring system for the MEDS score is as follows:

  • Rapidly progressing terminal co-morbid illness - 6 points
  • If the patient is older than 65 years of age - 3 points
  • If the granulocytic bands are greater than 5% - 3 points
  • If the patient has tachypnea or hypoxia - 3 points
  • If the patient is in shock - 3 points
  • If the patient has a platelet count of less than 150,000 mm3 - 3 points
  • If the patient has an altered mental status - 2 points
  • If the patient is a resident of a nursing home - 2 points
  • If the patient has a lower respiratory infection - 2 points

Point Correlation[2]

The total score will be added up and that total will correlate to the mortality percentage with a 95% confidence interval. The following are the point ranges associated with various mortality percentages.

  • 0-4 points total - 0.6% mortality rate
  • 5-7 points total - 5% mortality rate
  • 8-12 points total - 19% mortality rate
  • 13-15 points total - 32% mortality rate
  • 15+ points total - 40% mortality rate

References

  1. Shapiro NI, Wolfe RE, Moore RB, Smith E, Burdick E, Bates DW (2003). "Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) score: a prospectively derived and validated clinical prediction rule". Crit. Care Med. 31 (3): 670–5. doi:10.1097/01.CCM.0000054867.01688.D1. PMID 12626967.
  2. 2.0 2.1 "Risk Stratifying the Potentially Septic Patient in the ED". Retrieved 2012-04-20.


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