Talk:COVID-19 epidemiology and demographics
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It has been stated is that 20% to 70% of the population may get COVID-19 and 1% of those may die (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/16/upshot/coronavirus-best-worst-death-toll-scenario.html).
- The case fatality estimates are from the CDC(https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/6/20-0320_article) and published research ( https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-0822-7 ).
- The source of the 40% infection estimate seems to come from https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/news/hsph-in-the-news/the-latest-on-the-coronavirus/) and its denominator seems to be clinically recognized cases. However, the underlying research is not clear to me and I cannot tell whether the estimate is for only clinical cases or includes subclinical cases.